Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 779.276187 880.131294 992.835123 1128.821301 1289.388749 1474.100654 1704.334545
2025-03-23 635.505088 769.461888 933.313872 1151.411770 1438.607451 1810.419182 2339.281096
2025-03-30 536.651785 677.050590 858.368093 1114.905271 1477.316096 1985.193632 2777.867903
2025-04-06 467.725290 608.928389 799.102073 1081.475142 1503.782413 2136.073163 3205.469626
2025-04-13 413.358595 551.805600 744.674167 1042.605672 1509.949525 2250.509392 3595.250906
2025-04-20 390.283752 534.551861 742.667870 1077.796838 1631.047910 2564.006288 4399.864777
2025-04-27 365.222684 511.128187 727.916502 1089.714932 1714.345034 2828.109569 5188.949581
2025-05-04 343.431893 490.007591 713.675438 1099.369136 1793.593113 3098.892212 6074.787940
2025-05-11 323.707840 469.948626 698.547651 1104.730357 1864.728634 3367.480397 7046.193573
2025-05-18 312.603862 462.155556 701.946743 1141.866787 2000.346534 3795.172208 8560.773791
2025-05-25 300.754217 451.967137 700.061685 1168.754113 2119.898258 4216.725620 10246.503346
2025-06-01 287.074282 437.549273 689.416727 1177.654535 2203.659435 4577.226598 11932.945410
2025-06-08 271.720710 419.614597 671.818911 1172.721275 2261.008941 4899.489308 13712.392647
2025-06-15 261.540674 409.750884 667.747224 1194.211545 2381.952688 5421.446193 16521.374093
2025-06-22 244.133079 386.031999 636.341766 1156.201039 2358.521929 5548.859763 17940.492809
2025-06-29 228.757373 364.849997 607.915066 1121.173548 2336.570558 5676.198692 19461.581175
2025-07-06 214.014815 343.873997 578.300287 1080.492848 2294.489811 5735.084123 20742.750596
2025-07-13 209.897541 341.709014 584.226913 1117.324904 2455.149555 6469.138156 25914.646968
2025-07-20 203.209316 334.366989 579.460150 1129.802236 2554.766770 7043.299397 30908.052469
2025-07-27 196.729839 326.972305 573.957040 1139.910678 2650.182300 7640.401326 36813.457603
2025-08-03 190.228926 319.116922 566.888989 1145.524632 2734.357878 8231.658168 43567.493532
2025-08-10 187.378141 317.997558 573.425497 1184.421037 2924.541774 9318.693778 56099.195272
2025-08-17 183.612441 314.854206 575.471342 1212.592643 3089.116131 10385.890272 71056.179910